Offbeat Florida could see lots of rain as system in Gulf of Mexico moves north

13:16  14 may  2018
13:16  14 may  2018 Source:   cnn.com

Tropical disturbance in Gulf of Mexico expected to drench South Florida this week

  Tropical disturbance in Gulf of Mexico expected to drench South Florida this week Hurricane season doesn't officially start until June 1, but the National Hurricane Center is already eying a disturbance in the gulf. On Sunday, the hurricane center flagged an area of showers and thunderstorms stretching from Cuba to the Southeastern Gulf. The disturbance was given less than a 40 percent chance of developing into a named storm, according to a tropical outlook memo issued Sunday.And while the storm is not expected to develop, it still will likely continue to drench South Florida over the next week and possibly into the coming weekend. This comes after South Florida saw a wet Mother's Day weekend.

Heavy rain is a threat with this feature, this time in parts of north Florida . A second area of low pressure is farther southwest over the central Gulf of Mexico , with rather limited shower activity. At least one of these lows is forecast to move northeastward over the Big Bend of Florida late

A tropical depression has formed just off central Florida 's Gulf Coast. It will quickly move inland over Tropical Depression Six will cross the Florida Peninsula and exit into the Atlantic well north of the This is obviously a more widespread threat of heavy rain than you see on a typical afternoon of

This map from the National Hurricane Center shows disturbances in the Atlantic on Sunday, May 13. © Hurricane.gov This map from the National Hurricane Center shows disturbances in the Atlantic on Sunday, May 13.

No, it isn't hurricane season yet. But the National Hurricane Center is watching an area of showers and thunderstorm in the Gulf of Mexico which has a 30% chance of developing into a named storm in the next 48 hours.

The "chances of formation over the next 48 hours are low," the National Weather Service in Miami tweeted on Sunday.

Chances of formation means it would gather strength and become more organized into a storm with tropical characteristics. Once the storm hits a threshold it would be classified as a tropical depression, tropical storm and then the hurricane categories.

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Over the Memorial Day weekend, Tropical Storm Bonnie brought flooding rainfall to parts of the Carolinas and Georgia, then had a "second wind" off the Outer Banks of North Carolina the following week. This upcoming Gulf of Mexico disturbance would be named "Colin," if this system attains

The Pensacola National Air Station had seen more than six inches of rain since late Sunday night as of 8 a.m. CDT Monday. Farther east in Navarre, Florida a private An area of low pressure in the northeast Gulf of Mexico has been designated as Invest 99-L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

"This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days," according to the National Hurricane Center's special tropical weather outlook.

Regardless if the storm intensifies and is named, it will produce heavy rains with possible flooding for Florida in the coming days. Parts of Florida could see lots of rainfall, but it may be some relief as a portion of the state is in severe drought.

As of Sunday, the broad area of cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms extended from western Cuba across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

If it turns into a tropical storm or depression, this would happen before the start of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane season, which begins June 1. But storms forming early are not unusual, as there have been named tropical systems in April and May, and even a hurricane as early as January.

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