Offbeat NBC/WSJ poll: Trump's support has gotten deeper — but not broader

23:16  07 june  2018
23:16  07 june  2018 Source:   nbcnews.com

Oprah Winfrey Beats Trump in Pre-2020 Presidential Poll

  Oprah Winfrey Beats Trump in Pre-2020 Presidential Poll And so does former first lady Michelle Obama , Biden and Sanders all showed support of 48 percent of likely voters, to Trump's 38-39 percent. Rising stars on the left, Sens. Cory Booker and Kamala Harris, didn't bode well in head-to-head competition with the POTUS.See the chart below for the details.Zogby Analytics' nationwide online survey polled 881 likely voters in the U.S. May 10 to May 12. Based on a confidence interval of 95 percent, the margin of error for 881 is +/- 3.2 points. © Provided by The Wrap News, Inc.

As congressional Republicans fight to preserve their majorities, they may need to find a weapon more powerful than the big December tax cuts. The new NBC News/ Wall Street Journal poll shows that the tax-cut law, never broadly popular, has sagged in public esteem lately.

A new poll of " Trump counties" finds broad support for some of the president' s major moves on trade and foreign affairs — but most disapprove of his tweeting. The NBC / WSJ poll , conducted July 8-12, surveyed a total of 600 adults in these counties and has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 4.0

Image: Donald Trump RallySupporters cheer as US President Donald Trump speaks during a Make America Great Again Rally at Big Sandy Superstore Arena on August 3, 2017 in Huntington, West Virginia. © Provided by NBCU News Group, a division of NBCUniversal Media LLC Image: Donald Trump RallySupporters cheer as US President Donald Trump speaks during a Make America Great Again Rally at Big Sandy Superstore Arena on August 3, 2017 in Huntington, West Virginia.

WASHINGTON — So in the new NBC/WSJ poll, how do you reconcile President Trump's job approval rating ticking up to 44 percent among registered voters (up from 40 percent in April) — with Democrats expanding their lead in congressional preference to 10 points?

Our answer: Trump's support is deeper with key Trump/GOP groups, but it's not broader, especially when it comes to support for his own party.

Cruz up 11 points in Texas Senate race: poll

  Cruz up 11 points in Texas Senate race: poll Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leads his Democratic challenger, Rep. Beto O'Rourke, by 11 points in a new Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday . Fifty percent of Texas voters that responded to the poll back Cruz, while only 39 percent say they support O'Rourke in the Texas Senate race. It is a dramatic shift from Quinnipiac's April 18 survey, which found the race too close to callwith Cruz at 47 percent and O'Rourke at 44 percent, within the margin of error.According to Quinnipiac, Cruz got a big boost in support from men. Cruz currently leads O'Rourke, 57 percent to 35 percent, among men.

The NBC / WSJ poll also touched on Republican efforts to repeal and replace Obamacare. The House earlier this month passed the American Health Care Act, which Trump has said he supports .

The poll revealed Trump ' s support is slipping among the white voters essential to his base. Mainstream media just got called out big league for lying about what Trump said President Donald Jrnl NBC / WSJ : 4/8 - 4/11: 900 A: For perhaps the first time since last November’s election, polls are

For instance, Trump's job rating inched up among Trump voters, Republicans, rural voters and whites. But on the generic ballot, groups that have been opposed to Trump — white women, whites with college degrees and African Americans — have become more pro-Democrat.

In other words, Trump's base loves him more than ever. But that base love isn't translating to better midterm prospects for the GOP.

Two other important points from our poll: One, intensity is still on the Democrats' side. Sixty-three percent of Democrats register as either a "9" or "10" on a 10-point scale of interest in the midterms, while just 47 percent of Republicans signal the same level of interest. And 42 percent of voters STRONGLY disapprove of Trump's job, compared with 26 percent who STRONGLY approve.

Trump and Kim Increasingly Popular in South Korea

  Trump and Kim Increasingly Popular in South Korea Trump is only one percentage point more popular than Kim Jong Un in South Korea, according to a new poll.Related: Obama More Admired Than Trump in Every Country Except Russia: Poll

The poll revealed Trump ' s support is slipping among the white voters essential to his base. For perhaps the first time since last November’s Mar 17, 2018 · President Donald Trump ' s approval rating has improved slightly but is still underwater, according to a NBC / WSJ poll released Sunday.

Are even die-hard Donald Trump supporters fleeing the president? Joy Reid and her panel discuss his eroding base, according to new poll numbers. Sign up for the MSNBC newsletter. You have been successfully added to our newsletter. Let our news meet your inbox.

a screenshot of a cell phone © Provided by NBCU News Group, a division of NBCUniversal Media LLC

And two, the NBC/WSJ numbers on Trump and congressional have been incredibly steady. Trump's job rating has swayed from 38 percent to 44 percent during the course of his presidency - a range of just 6 points. And over the past year, the Dem lead in congressional preference has fluctuated between D+6 and D+11 - a range of 5 points.

By the way, the Dem lead in congressional preference isn't just concentrated in blue areas. According to the poll, Democrats hold a 6-point lead (48 percent to 42 percent) in the combined states with Tossup and Lean Senate races per the Cook Political Report, and another 6-point lead (50 percent to 44 percent) in the combined Tossup and Lean congressional districts.

White college-educated women are driving the Democrats

Check out these numbers: In the merged NBC/WSJ polling of 2017, white women with college degrees preferred a Dem-controlled Congress by 17 points (55 percent to 38 percent). In the merged NBC/WSJ polling from January to April, it was 26 points (60 percent to 34 percent). And in this latest poll, the margin is now 30 points (60 percent to 30 percent).

Poll: Trump job approval up 4 points

  Poll: Trump job approval up 4 points President Trump's approval rating ticked up 4 points in a new poll amid positive economic numbers. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that Trump's job performance rating rose to 44 percent, up from 40 percent in April in a potentially good sign for GOP candidates seeking to tie themselves to the president ahead of challenging midterms for the party.

The previous NBC / WSJ poll had almost twice as many likely voters in its sample (922, three weeks ago). It’ s literally the smallest sample since Trump clinched the Saturday might have gotten the biggest reaction, but the following days could have seen a return to the race’ s status quo ante.

Trump is still viewed more negatively than she is, and has struggled to reach beyond his core support among white voters without college degrees. Clinton leads Trump by 6 points in new WSJ / NBC poll .

By contrast, men without college degrees have become more GOP - from R+26 in 2017 (58 percent to 32 percent) to R+37 now (64 percent to 27 percent).

Trump's approval is now in the same place as Obama's and Reagan's. But there's one big difference

Here's Trump ranked with other presidents at about 18 months into their time in office (the pre-Clinton data is from Gallup; Clinton and beyond is from NBC/WSJ):

  • George W. Bush (June 2002): 69 percent
  • George H.W. Bush (June 1990): 69 percent
  • JFK (June 1962): 68 percent
  • LBJ (June 1965): 67 percent
  • Dwight Eisenhower (June 1954): 63 percent
  • Harry Truman (Sept. 1946): 55 percent
  • Richard Nixon (June 1970): 54 percent
  • Bill Clinton (June 1994): 52 percent
  • Barack Obama (June 2010): 45 percent
  • Ronald Reagan (June 1982): 44 percent
  • Donald Trump (June 2018): 44 percent
  • Gerald Ford (Dec. 1975): 43 percent
  • Jimmy Carter (June 1978): 42 percent

So Trump is now pretty much in the same place as Reagan and Obama. But the difference is that Trump is where he started his presidency — he never really had a honeymoon.

Being a check on Trump is the most popular candidate quality. The most unpopular is supporting Trump's agenda and Nancy Pelosi

By a whopping 25-point margin, voters say they're more likely to back a congressional candidate who promises to serve as a check on President Donald Trump.

Majority of Americans say NFL players who kneel during the anthem are 'not unpatriotic'

  Majority of Americans say NFL players who kneel during the anthem are 'not unpatriotic' A majority of Americans, by a 58% to 35% margin, believe NFL players who kneel during the National Anthem in protest are "not unpatriotic," according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday. By a 53-to-43% margin, Americans say professional athletes have the right to protest on the playing field, though 51% of voters said they support the NFL's new policy requiring players to stand. The poll also found that there was a partisan split, with 70% of Republican voters saying taking a knee was unpatriotic, while only 11% of Democratic voters agreed.

A new NBC / WSJ poll out this morning disputes that claim — although the general election is still a long way off. The Vermont senator gets 55 percent support in a hypothetical two-person race against Trump , while the GOP front-runner would get just 37 percent.

Forty-six percent of white voters view Trump ' s job favorably, down four points since March. The president had the approval of 50 percent of men last month, but that slipped to 45 percent in April. Read the results of the NBC / WSJ poll here.

By a similar margin, they say they're less likely to vote for someone who has supported the president on most issues.

And by a 45 percent-to-21 percent margin, voters say they're less likely to support a candidate who wants Nancy Pelosi as speaker. Here are all the numbers:

a screenshot of a cell phone © Provided by NBCU News Group, a division of NBCUniversal Media LLC

Health care is top issue in the new poll

Asked about their top issues for November, 38 percent of voters answered with health care (as their first or second choice) — followed by the economy and jobs at 37 percent, guns at 25 percent, taxes and spending at 24 percent and immigration at 23 percent.

And here's a cool look at congressional preference by the most important factor in vote:

a screenshot of a cell phone © Provided by NBCU News Group, a division of NBCUniversal Media LLC

It's surprising to us that immigration is almost a tie, while Dems have the lead on guns.

The public is showing more patience on the Russia story than Washington is

Finally, 37 percent of voters say that — based on what they've seen, read or heard — Trump's 2016 presidential campaign *did* collude or work secretly with Russia, while 34 percent disagree; 28 percent didn't know enough to say.

Those findings are essentially unchanged from the December 2017 NBC/WSJ poll. And we emphasize that 28 percent who don't know enough to say — that's a big chunk of the electorate.

Additionally, a combined 53 percent of voters say they either had "some" or a "great deal" of confidence in special counsel Robert Mueller conducting a fair and impartial investigation, versus a combined 40 percent who have little to no confidence.

And 46 percent believe that Mueller's investigation should continue, while 36 percent think it should be ended.

Poll: only 32 percent of voters view Robert Mueller favorably .
It might be a sign that Trump’s attempts to discredit the special counsel’s investigation is working.More people — 36 percent — have an unfavorable opinion of Mueller than a favorable one. The remaining 32 percent don’t have an opinion or say they haven’t heard of Mueller.

Source: http://us.pressfrom.com/news/offbeat/-152821-nbc-wsj-poll-trumps-support-has-gotten-deeper-but-not-broader/

—   Share news in the SOC. Networks

Topical videos:

This is interesting!